The Four Futures Planner-AI-driven scenario planner tool

The Four Futures Planner is a specialized scenario planning tool designed to help individuals, businesses, policymakers, and organizations anticipate how different futures of artificial intelligence (AI) development may impact their strategies, industries, or careers. It is based on methodologies pioneered by Shell in the 1970s and refined for the 21st century through the STEEP framework—Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, and Political forces. The core goal is to make uncertainty more navigable by constructing and exploring plausible future scenarios that challenge assumptions and stress-test plans. Unlike traditional forecasting, The Four Futures Planner does not predict a single outcome. Instead, it maps out four divergent AI trajectories: 1. 'As Good as It Gets' — AI stagnates at its current level. 2. 'Slow Growth' — AI advances incrementally. 3. 'Exponential Growth' — AI rapidly accelerates. 4. 'AGI' — AI surpasses human intelligence and achieves autonomy or sentience. **Example:** A mid-career teacher might ask: "Should I retrain to integrate AI in my classroom, or switch to another careerFour Futures Planner Overview altogether?" The Four Futures Planner would evaluate how teaching changes across the four AI trajectories. Under AGI, human teachers may become emotional coaches; under 'Slow Growth', AI remains a support tool.